Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.000709e-03 1.141841e-03 0.001284 0.001436 0.001595 0.001755 0.001928
2025-12-14 7.519503e-04 9.520017e-04 0.001160 0.001390 0.001636 0.001888 0.002166
2025-12-21 6.031030e-04 8.484276e-04 0.001112 0.001411 0.001736 0.002076 0.002454
2025-12-28 4.456672e-04 7.177575e-04 0.001022 0.001376 0.001769 0.002185 0.002654
2026-01-04 3.376431e-04 6.302154e-04 0.000971 0.001377 0.001835 0.002326 0.002884
2026-01-11 2.404287e-04 5.422544e-04 0.000911 0.001362 0.001878 0.002437 0.003078
2026-01-18 1.634979e-04 4.674641e-04 0.000859 0.001350 0.001921 0.002545 0.003265
2026-01-25 8.334874e-05 3.688639e-04 0.000769 0.001287 0.001901 0.002579 0.003368
2026-02-01 3.677027e-05 3.038483e-04 0.000714 0.001262 0.001920 0.002655 0.003514
2026-02-08 1.165819e-05 2.610903e-04 0.000684 0.001264 0.001969 0.002762 0.003693
2026-02-15 3.639348e-07 2.287588e-04 0.000665 0.001278 0.002030 0.002879 0.003882
2026-02-22 NaN 2.000698e-04 0.000648 0.001291 0.002089 0.002995 0.004066
2026-03-01 NaN 1.481880e-04 0.000601 0.001279 0.002135 0.003115 0.004282
2026-03-08 NaN 9.373458e-05 0.000539 0.001244 0.002153 0.003205 0.004464
2026-03-15 NaN 6.890198e-05 0.000522 0.001270 0.002246 0.003381 0.004745
2026-03-22 NaN 3.287304e-05 0.000468 0.001241 0.002268 0.003474 0.004931
2026-03-29 NaN 1.395525e-05 0.000439 0.001244 0.002330 0.003613 0.005168
2026-04-05 NaN 9.454030e-07 0.000401 0.001231 0.002368 0.003723 0.005372
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000367 0.001221 0.002410 0.003835 0.005576
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001161 0.002384 0.003865 0.005684
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000269 0.001137 0.002403 0.003947 0.005851
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000249 0.001139 0.002456 0.004069 0.006062
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000236 0.001152 0.002521 0.004205 0.006290